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> I thought Snapchat was obviously going to succeed 4 years ago when I was still in college - 70% of the people I knew in college were using it.

I've no idea when you were in college, but if 70% of the people around you were using it, I presume it was already successful.



Yes. You would have no idea of this reading Hacker News threads about Snapchat 4 years ago, though.




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