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China will not overtake US at least for the next 100 years.

On what metric? By GDP PPP, they've already passed us: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)

They are a much larger country. At about 15k gdp per capita, they'll match our gdp... and that's just a solid middle-income country... not exceptional. As they start to exceed that, certainly that economic power will start to show itself globally.

For comparison, Taiwan and South Korea are at ~$30k. That would result in a gdp 2x as large as the US (about 40T).



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