It’s really hard to predict. I have sat in a Tesla, have a comma ai kit, seen tons of videos of Cruise, Zoox, Waymo, Voyage Taxis.
The space is incrementally improving. Lots of new ideas.
I’m very bullish on systems that improve human driving and slowly move to more and more autonomy than “replace humans”
Anyone claiming full self driving is around the corner is prolly lying. I have no idea when it will be here. The edge cases are enormous.
But self driving on selected city routes and highways in good weather is here.
I would say Highway lane following and distance keeping is already better than human.
We aren’t great at holding monotonous focus. Machines on the other hand excel at that. We do excel at edge cases though. Marrying the two seems like a good bet.
The space is incrementally improving. Lots of new ideas.
I’m very bullish on systems that improve human driving and slowly move to more and more autonomy than “replace humans”
Anyone claiming full self driving is around the corner is prolly lying. I have no idea when it will be here. The edge cases are enormous.
But self driving on selected city routes and highways in good weather is here.
I would say Highway lane following and distance keeping is already better than human.
We aren’t great at holding monotonous focus. Machines on the other hand excel at that. We do excel at edge cases though. Marrying the two seems like a good bet.