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Even if you consider running consistently over a long period of time?

Also, my hypotheticals were meant to be such that you wouldn't take even vanishingly small chances. If you are willing to, then I failed in my argument.



The chance of a party with 1% support getting 300 or more seats out of 600 is roughly on the order of 0.04^300.* This number is so small that you're probably better off worrying about a literal biological virus that turns people into fascists.

*The factor of 4 comes from the rate of growth of the central binomial coefficients.




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