There's times when you might be able to expect a huge spike, but even then, if the product is early, so the overall design is still pretty fluid, I would try to keep flexible.
It's more important to be aware of overload, and provide feedback to users (or potential users) and some form of load shedding. And test that all. For a lot of applications, being able to quickly plop together a second monolith could work to address spikes. Or switching to a bigger machine: Epyc 2-socket systems get you up to 128 cores (256 SMT threads), and I think 8TB of ram. You can do an awful lot with that.
It's more important to be aware of overload, and provide feedback to users (or potential users) and some form of load shedding. And test that all. For a lot of applications, being able to quickly plop together a second monolith could work to address spikes. Or switching to a bigger machine: Epyc 2-socket systems get you up to 128 cores (256 SMT threads), and I think 8TB of ram. You can do an awful lot with that.