I'm seeing quite a few small businesses / solo ventures locally who are using AI productively in ways that they would not be able to afford humans doing the same job. So while this is replacing humans, it is not destroying jobs - those businesses would not be able to afford a human to do this job anyway.

It's a bit like Lean startup arising from Cloud computing - not having to provision your servers beforehand allowed a bunch of new small businesses (startups) to scale organically without needing vast amounts of capital locked up in hardware. Now AI is allowing a bunch of small businesses to operate with reduced expenses, enabling businesses that otherwise would not function, or would struggle.

A local IT/dev provider is seeing an increase in business serving this exact same market - small businesses vibe-coding an MVP then need help getting it stable and to the next level.

My guess is that this is the next Lean; small artisanal/local businesses that are enabled by the reduced costs from using AI in the business. And then the following wave of professional services that provide those functions at the next level as the artisanal businesses mature.

Just a guess, though, I think it's too early to be really confident about it.